(ATR) As the London Games come to an end, potential candidates to become the next IOC President are keeping mum on their plans to run. The 2012 Games were once cited by them as one of the reasons not to raise their hands for the race. Now they are content to stay quiet for another 10 months.
The election isn’t until September 2013, and candidates don’t have to declare until next June. Until that deadline they are not going to go public with any campaigning. Even then, we should not expect a series of presidential debates, as IOC rules prohibit that sort of thing.
Four or more candidates could emerge by next June. The likely ones include:
Thomas Bach, IOC vice president, president of the DOSB, the NOC of Germany.
Richard Carrion, chairman of the IOC Finance Commission and president of Puerto Rico’s biggest bank.
Rene Fasel, International Ice Hockey Federation president, a Swiss.
Ser Miang Ng, member of the Executive Board, from Singapore.
Denis Oswald, rowing federation president from Switzerland.
Nawal El Moutawakel, IOC vice president from Morocco.
IOC members we’ve spoken to in London say that Bach must be considered a favorite at this point. But they say it’s still too early to predict the outcome of the race. Support of the candidates will be split initially along continental lines, they say.
How the race progresses to a decision by a majority of the members will depend less on politics, they say, and more on how confident and comfortable they feel about the candidates. While the real campaign won’t begin for 10 more months, discussions and meetings taking place now will shape their attitudes towards the candidates.
What’s expected from the next IOC president? Stability, say IOC members, which they say means continued revenue growth and more support for NOCs and sports federations. No revolution is needed, but some have said a serious look at the future of the Youth Olympic Games will have to be made by the new IOC president.
There are no revolutionaries, no flame-throwers among the possible contenders. Discerning policy differences among the candidates may be a nuanced exercise, not just for the public, but also the voting members, given the limits on campaigning.
For now, it seems a new president may bring a change of style, but not much change to the IOC.
Written and reported by
For general comments or questions,
20 Years at #1: Your best source of news about the Olympics is www.aroundtherings.com, for subscribers only.